Dorinthea Ironsong at Battle Hardened: Phuket
Dorinthea Ironsong
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Teddy Tai (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Fauzi I (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 7: Win vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
32nd • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Julianto (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs David Tham (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cliff Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gary Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Abbey Fong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Galaxy Yang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cheuk Lun Tsang (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Tham (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Melvin Chew (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kantanat poom chukiat (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Li (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kelvin Law (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Denny Koh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tay Yong Chain (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Leverton (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.