Bravo, Showstopper at Battle Hardened: Phuket

Bravo, Showstopper

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nathan Youngblut

dropped • 2-2-1

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Vincent Yuen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.17
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.44
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Draw	✓	0.53	-

Si-Jie Gao

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cliff Wong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.19
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.21
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Keith Yong

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shing Tsang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.