Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

23rd 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jan Hell (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lauri Koivisto (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Laura Väisälä (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matias Viitasalo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ville Schalin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
14th 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!!
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hannu Pentinpuro (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kalle Kivilahti (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Huntsman
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henri Hannunen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 29:71
Dash I/O
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Laura Kauhanen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.