Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Finland
Dash I/O
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Heidi Lehikoinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Red Itärinne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matti Salmi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.