National Championship 2025 - Finland - Levia, Shadowborn Abomination (CC)

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Heidi Lehikoinen

dropped • 1-2-0

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jani Laatunen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 10:90

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aleksanteri Tamminen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Luna Zitting

dropped • 1-2-0

33%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ilmari Lahtinen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mikael Kullström (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Adrien Delacroix (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.68

Quentin Leroy

dropped • 0-3-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eero Aho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jan Ojamaa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

0% (0/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.