Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

18th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Quang Vu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 54:46
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Olli Saarinen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tero Sainomaa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
dropped 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tuomas Lampinen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Quentin Leroy (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.