Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

10th 4-1-1
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Henri Hannunen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luna Zitting (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 54:46
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matti Munukka (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Fang, Dracai of Blades
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matias Viitasalo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 44:56
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs August Rokkanen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
dropped 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
!!
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Quang Vu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 66:34
Kassai of the Golden Sand
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Juha-Matti Pihlajamäki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.