Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
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dropped • 2-0-1
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mikael Kullström (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 73:27
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lauri Lehto (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.