FaB-Results

Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - Finland

Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Riku Majamaa
17th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Antti Humalamäki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Valtteri Laine (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matias Viitasalo (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Henry Hyttinen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tero Sainomaa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Red Itärinne
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laura Väisälä (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Dash I/O
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 39:61

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.