Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Aleksanteri Tamminen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tero Sainomaa (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 71:29
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eero Aho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Emmi Pelkonen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.