Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jirka Ilomäki (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jarko Räisänen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hannu Riipinen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Valentin Soloviev (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matti Salmi (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
Round 9: Win vs Tommi Vornanen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.