National Championship 2025 - Mexico - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Fernando Valenzuela

13th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

4.9

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jesus Huerta (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gaston Zagursky (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Emiliano Tatan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.13
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.59
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.83
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.32

Vigneo Guzman

31st • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tomas Espejel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs OMAR MATA (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Carlo Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.44
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.65

Carlos Vazquez

14th • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Carlo Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Octavio chaparro beltran (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mario Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Rodrigo Iñiguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Diego de Alba Montes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.26
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.46
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Pedro Josafat Valdez De León

26th • 1-5-0

33%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.1

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Diego Alejandro Correa Miramontes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Sierra (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs César Barajas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Liz Suastes

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs luis alberto de la rosa muñoz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tomas Espejel (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Roberto Busnelli

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Sanchez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rafael Eduardo Jaimes Hurtado (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jesus Huerta (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.