Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Josafat Valdez De León (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mario Gomez (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Soberanis (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luis Angel Jiménez Barrios (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.