National Championship 2025 - Mexico - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eduardo Daniel García Reyes

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oliver Lopez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs César Barajas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Miguel Rubio (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Diego de Alba Montes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Osmar Bravo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.17
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Win	✗	0.81	1.01
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.59
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.66
R9	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R10	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Emmanuel Rojas

11th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.4

Surp

2.1

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jose Luis Zuñiga Rodríguez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Carlo Villarreal (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Manuel Alejandro Sánchez Romo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs David Lewis (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.10
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.28
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.83
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.88

KI JO HAN KIM

39th • 1-4-1

50%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jesus Roman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rodrigo Iñiguez (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Oliver Lopez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs luis alberto de la rosa muñoz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs César Barajas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Draw	✓	0.67	-
R7	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R9	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Tomas Espejel

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs SERGIO PARTIDA HERNANDEZ (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vigneo Guzman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liz Suastes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.