Kayo at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Kayo

19 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan Malabed

1st • 9-1-0

70%

Meta

+4.5

Perf

5.8

Surp

7.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Qeith Josef Gamallo (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Rainier Noel Andes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Carlo Antioquia (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Victor Miguel III Lim (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Marvin Domingo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

20:80

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

35:65

R10 Blitz

Round 10: Win vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

7.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.32
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.06
R7	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.70
R8	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Win	✗	0.80	2.09
R10	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.52

Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante

10th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.6

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Lukban (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Marcelle Fabie (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Kent Aldwin Celino (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jordan Charles Magsalin (Florian) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Renz Mascardo (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.53
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.76
R4	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.37
R5	Blitz	Florian	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.09
R6	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Regin Kevin Pilapil

22nd • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs David hydn Macas (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

20:80

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Hee Joong Kim (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Rod Waje (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

20:80

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R3	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	1.26
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R7	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joseph Lopez

23rd • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Marcelle Fabie (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Tommy Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Genico Boy (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

30:70

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Orlando Ampo (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.26
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Win	✗	0.80	1.00
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Dennis Basuel

26th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Lukban (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Mort Castillo (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

matoshi anthony Del mundo

30th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Felix (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Cristerson Chee (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Christopher Banac (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Angelo Del Rosario (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Gerard Kawada (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Leejan Dwayne Joshua Balagtas (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R7	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Rainier Noel Andes

34th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Joel Guzman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Renz Mascardo (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Tommy Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.76
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.06

Leandro Antonio Lacson

48th • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Arjhon Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Draw vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Jaden Olladas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Stephen Brian Lim (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Draw	✓	0.64	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	Blitz	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Harvey Jade Jadena

37th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Angelo Del Rosario (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Marvin Domingo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Juan Carlo Hernandez (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Basuel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Oniel De Leon (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Tommy Ang

49th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Alyssa Mae Arcedo (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Simon Quirico Gamallo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jomari Daniel Panganiban (Oscilio) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Banac (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Rainier Noel Andes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Arjhon Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.26
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Oscilio	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.47
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Lester Bryan Co

50th • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Rayland Luiz Duarte (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jaime Manzano (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Eugene Guevarra (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Leandro Antonio Lacson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Angelito Co (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Raymond Baligaya (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Rey Sarenas (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R2	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.65

Arjhon Ang

57th • 1-6-0

86%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

20:80

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Angelo Gonzales (Dorinthea) - Expected: 20:80

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Banac (Gravy Bones) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Leandro Antonio Lacson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Sophia Fulgencio (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Angelito Co (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R2	Blitz	Gravy Bones	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Reynald Jay Payad

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Sophia Fulgencio (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Marcus Javier (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Jose Gerard Kawada (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R3	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Simon Quirico Gamallo

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jeremy Tan (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Tommy Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Blitz	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Arvin Jesus De Leon

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs arthur Sarenas (Cindra) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 29:71

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Orlando Ampo (Verdance) - Expected: 28:72

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Cindra	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Blitz	Verdance	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R4	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Victor Felix

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Joseph Villano (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Franco Antonio Regalado (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Azalea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joel Guzman

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Rainier Noel Andes (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Richard Malcolm II Chuaunsu (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Lukban (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathaniel Jerald Bea

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Rafael Uson (Dash, Database) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Charles Magsalin (Florian) - Expected: 35:65

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Basuel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	Blitz	Florian	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chard Tan

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Angelito Co (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Eugene Guevarra (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.