World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Philippines - Gravy Bones (Blitz)

Gravy Bones

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alexander Rey Sarenas

51st • 2-4-1

43%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Angelo Regalado (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Malabed (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Victor Miguel III Lim (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Draw vs Leandro Antonio Lacson (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Draw	✗	0.36	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Christopher Banac

56th • 2-4-1

57%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

35:65

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Arjhon Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Sophia Fulgencio (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	Blitz	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Juan Carlo Hernandez

52nd • 2-5-0

86%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Marvin Domingo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

35:65

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Harvey Jade Jadena (Kayo) - Expected: 36:64

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Qeith Josef Gamallo (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Salazar (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Gabriel Lukban (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Kayo	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Dan Emerson Palomares

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Raymond Baligaya (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Qeith Josef Gamallo (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs joel amad (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.