World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Philippines - Verdance (Blitz)

Verdance

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Rayland Luiz Duarte

13th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Lester Bryan Co (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Floyd Paul Fortaleza (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Oniel De Leon (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Ormille Busmente (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Blitz	Zen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Orlando Ampo

14th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Reinier Jumaquio (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Keenan Fernandez (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Arvin Jesus De Leon (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Trevis Martinez (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Joseph Lopez (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

30:70

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Carlo Antioquia (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.20
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.65
R5	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.34
R6	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Marcelle Fabie

45th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Lopez (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs miguel mohal (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jacky Alexander Chan (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Andhiko Y Dhewodiningrat (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Lorenzo Salazar (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.74
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.65
R5	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alyssa Mae Arcedo

dropped • 0-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Ang (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Draw vs Lawrence De La Rama (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R2	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Carl Rivera

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.