World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Philippines - Florian (Blitz)

Florian

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chris Javier Mapalo

2nd • 8-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

5.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Carl Rivera (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Reynald Jay Payad (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Carlo Antioquia (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Renz Mascardo (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Genico Boy (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Bryan Dayak (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Victor Miguel III Lim (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R10 Blitz

Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Malabed (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (10/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.10
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R3	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.19
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	Blitz	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R9	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Renz Mascardo

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Michael Cepe (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Rainier Noel Andes (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Michael Joseph Villano (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Marvin Domingo (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Keenan Fernandez (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.15
R3	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.54
R8	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Gerard Kawada

16th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ericsson Marquez (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Poe Cadano (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Charles Magsalin (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Reynald Jay Payad (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Lean Gabriel Alfafara (Enigma, New Moon) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

65:35

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs matoshi anthony Del mundo (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Jaden Olladas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.35
R5	Blitz	Enigma, New Moon	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.53
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jordan Charles Magsalin

28th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Julian Erick Pixel Fabian (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jose Gerard Kawada (Florian) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Ormille Busmente (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

65:35

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Richard Anthony "Kampai" Bustamante (Kayo) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Rod Waje (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Drei Cortez (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.18
R3	Blitz	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.