World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Philippines - Dash, Database (Blitz)

Dash, Database

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Matthew Ericsson Marquez

3rd • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Gerard Kawada (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Reinier Jumaquio (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Josiah Jr Gosingtian (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Arvin Jesus De Leon (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Eugene Guevarra (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Orlando Ampo (Verdance) - Expected: 70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Mikko Pena (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Renz Mascardo (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Chris Javier Mapalo (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R4	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Verdance	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.34
R7	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rafael Uson

25th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Jerald Bea (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs paolo mayo (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Mark Alvin Mendoza (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Troy Gales (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Carlo Antioquia (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Rayvie Anthony Pecajas (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Ralph Gomeri (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.44
R7	Blitz	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

miguel mohal

dropped • 0-4-0

100%

Meta

-2.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Leejan Dwayne Joshua Balagtas (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Mark Alvin Mendoza (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Marcelle Fabie (Verdance) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Lawrence De La Rama (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Verdance	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R4	Blitz	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.