Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
4 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 6-3-0
0%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.8
Surp
5.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Paulo Resende (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rui Carvalho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Julian Flury (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Tiago Queirós (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Round 11: Win vs Tiago Costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
20th • 4-2-0
33%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Augusto Silva (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 9:91, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bruno Patrão (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nuno Paiva (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bernardo José Alves (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
27th • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joao Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs André Ferreira (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs José Guimarães (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Carvalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rafael Barreto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
29th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Golden (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tiago Rodrigues (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rodolfo Brites (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rui Carvalho (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joao Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Cordeiro (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.