National Championship 2026 - Portugal - Cindra, Dracai of Retribution (CC)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves

3rd • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+2.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

4.5

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Miguel Cardoso (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs David Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Henrique Brito (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.94
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.44
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Filipe Coutinho

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Julian Flury (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Barreto (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Afonso Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Paulo Sherring (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Tiago Queirós (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Henrique Brito (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.64
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.43
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.81
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.98
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Paulo Resende

36th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henrique Brito (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tiago Costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Patrick Alain Franco (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Carla Correia (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.58
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Bernardo Cardoso

37th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Filipe Ficalho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paulo Resende (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Joao Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Joao Pereira (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ícaro Peixoto (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Joao Pereira

32nd • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

5.5

Diff

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Marcos Vassão (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Filipe Ficalho (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs David Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R8	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	2.00
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.80
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.71

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.