FaB-Results
Arakni, Marionette

Arakni, Marionette

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pedro Carvalho
5th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.6
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs José Guimarães (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Zyggy Starlight
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandre Corte Real (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tiago Polónio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Fernandes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tiago Polónio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Daniel Fernandes
5th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rúben Martins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mia Miguel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Guilherme (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Alves (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pedro Carvalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.