Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Pedro Carvalho (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Afonso Fernandes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Rodrigues (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rodolfo Brites (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.