Jarl Vetreiði
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tiago Costa (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Joao Pereira (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tiago Queirós (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Guilherme Coutinho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mário Abrantes (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.