Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joel Halvars (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nic Palm (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
13th • 5-1-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Patricia Gustafsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Tallstig (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oscar Ålund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Martin Kristoffersson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
37th • 2-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Stefan Persson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Dahlström (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carl De Soysa (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gustav André (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
24th • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Ålund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Haugmo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Albert Schütt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Joel Halvars (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Moynagh (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.