National Championship 2026 - Sweden - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Stefan Persson

14th • 4-1-1

83%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

4.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Anton André (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Anton Engström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Johnny Vretlind (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Maximilian Malander (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Thomas Haugmo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Draw	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.14
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Win	✗	0.71	2.35
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	1.45

Ed Kammeby

35th • 2-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.1

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johnny Vretlind (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lewis Day (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs emanuel Plan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

75:25

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Anton Engström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 75:25

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R8	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	75%	Win	✓	0.25	0.62

Martin Kristoffersson

27th • 1-4-1

50%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Niklas Astner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Alexander Karlin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Patricia Gustafsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Lewis Day (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Zyggy Starlight	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Zyggy Starlight	15%	Draw	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.14
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R9	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.