Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
32nd • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Stefan Persson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ola Birgersson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs emanuel Plan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rickard Ekermann (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ed Kammeby (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.