Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Haugmo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Henrik Nilsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anton Engström (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Karlin (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.