Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Andersson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 17:83
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ed Kammeby (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Söderberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Martin Kristoffersson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.