Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2026 - Sweden
Dorinthea Ironsong
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henrik Dahlström (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maximilian Malander (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lewis Day (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrej Erdelsky (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.