Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

20th 4-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Söderberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Dash I/O
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Nielsen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Pleiades, Superstar
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nic Palm (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Italo Molina (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Péter Kökény (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
dropped 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joakim Gustafsson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.