National Championship 2026 - Sweden - Aurora, Legacy of Tempest (CC)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Eric Lindström

34th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.3

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Martin Andreasson (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Ålund (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Magnusson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs emanuel Plan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.50

Jonathan Magnusson

28th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jesper Lindström (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Klas Bergholtz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 14:86

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Lindström (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joel Halvars (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Andreas Björnsson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.22
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	15%	Loss	✗	0.14	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.73
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Tallstig

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.5

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Teo Rutisson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johan Reidel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Heiden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Henrik Nilsson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.