Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
3.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Konrad Niva (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Martin Kristoffersson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fredrik Bill (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Andersson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andreas Björnsson (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Henrik Dahlström (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.