Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

15th 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kristian Faber (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Pleiades, Superstar
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Draw vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jamie Alison (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
26th 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christian Willemsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frederik Damholt Hansen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
Dash I/O
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeppe Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Akasha Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
22nd 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Prism, Awakener of Sol
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Kyndi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Prism, Awakener of Sol
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Zyggy Starlight
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.