National Championship 2026 - Denmark - Dash I/O (CC)

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Akasha Hansen

19th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michel Westermann (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jon Holm Thomsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.30
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.24
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.06
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	1.22

Mads Rosenkrands Kaasing

13th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jon Holm Thomsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oliver Westenra (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Laura Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Fábián Demeter (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Win	✗	0.81	0.80
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.57
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	55%	Win	✓	0.45	1.14
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Frederik Pedersen

dropped • 3-2-0

80%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Oliver Westenra (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Magnus Hermansholm (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.18
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.34
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.49
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.