Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Frederik Pedersen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mads Rosenkrands Kaasing (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jon Holm Thomsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.