Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

12th 2-3-1
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69
Pleiades, Superstar
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jon Sørensen (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Westenra (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31
Pleiades, Superstar
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
!
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Danny Halstad (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emil Spangenberg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
dropped 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Mathias Jeppesen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emil Yusaku Tauchi (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Dorinthea Ironsong
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.