Puffin, Hightail at National Championship 2026 - Denmark

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.5

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Alison (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 61:39

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alexander Kyndi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 84:16

Kassai of the Golden Sand

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

Zyggy Starlight

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Zyggy Starlight

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.30
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	85%	Win	✓	0.16	0.14
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Win	✗	0.72	2.09
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R10	CC	Zyggy Starlight	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.