Puffin, Hightail
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Alison (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Kyndi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17
Round 8: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.