National Championship 2026 - Denmark - Oscilio, Constella Intelligence (CC)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sebastian Grøndal

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Akasha Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nicolaj Lyth (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Christian Jelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.97
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Mads Kjølby Larsen

23rd • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Sørup Jensen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jamie Alison (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Frederik Damholt Hansen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.09
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.61
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Nicolaj Lyth

36th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Line Steen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.73
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.15

Peter Søndergaard Hald

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicolaj Lyth (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mathias Jeppesen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.98
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.92

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.