Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Akasha Hansen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Line Steen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jurij Di Carlo (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.