National Championship 2026 - Denmark - Pleiades, Superstar (CC)

Pleiades, Superstar

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jurij Di Carlo

24th • 2-2-2

83%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Magnus Hermansholm (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Mathias W (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Win	✗	0.89	1.06
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jon Sørensen

42nd • 1-3-2

83%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonasemil Schmidt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tilemachos Tsontakis (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Dawid Majgat (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Christian Willemsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Mathias Jeppesen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Dawid Majgat

40th • 1-4-1

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Jon Sørensen (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Olivar Rodén (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Christian Willemsen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Kyndi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.33
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.