National Championship 2026 - Vietnam - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Son Vu Anh

2nd • 7-2-0

33%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

5.3

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Long Tran (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phú Nguyễn Khả (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Than Thang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs nguyen tuan minh (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Lân Nguyễn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

33% (3/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

5.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.05
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.26
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R8	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.98
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.11
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.11
R11	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.48
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Eric Nguyễn

5th • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Quy Nguyen Quynh Ngoc (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thành Tô (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tùng Nguyễn Lâm (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Long Tran (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Nguyen Tuan Anh (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Son Vu Anh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.55
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.74
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.50
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Manh Hien Nguyen

15th • 4-2-0

33%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

3.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Hieu Tran (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hiep Le (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs nguyen tuan minh (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tien Dat (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Hải Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.18
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.55
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.57
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.63	2.14

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.