National Championship 2026 - Vietnam - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Quang Duong

12th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Trong Hieu (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Henry Phan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 68:32

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lại Thành (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lân Nguyễn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Phan Quan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.27
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.01
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Lane Thomason

22nd • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Duc Minh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joel Pearson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hoàng Đặng Minh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Nhu y Tran thi (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 43:57

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Nguyễn Tuấn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Khánh Bình Nguyễn Đình (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.81
R8	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.42	1.03
R9	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Thành Tô

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lại Thành (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 35:65

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tien Dat (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.