Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giang Hoang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 76:24
Round 2: Loss vs Phan Quan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mai Dao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tuan Nguyen Dinh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Quang Duong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Son Vu Anh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.