Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phan Quan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Thành Tô (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kiều VAnh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Manh Hien Nguyen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.