Vynnset, Iron Maiden

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

25th 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.7
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Duy Ta (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hải Nguyễn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tùng Nguyễn Lâm (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phuoc Thang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Dash I/O
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Khánh Bình Nguyễn Đình (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Arakni, Marionette
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Phú Nguyễn Khả (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
!
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Duc Minh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tien Dat (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 38:62
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nguyen tuan minh (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 45:55

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.