Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tuan Nguyen Dinh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Khánh Bình Nguyễn Đình (Dash I/O) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Manh Hien Nguyen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kiều VAnh (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Son Vu Anh (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hiep Le (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.