Kano at Showdown: Brisbane 2026

Kano

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jackson CASANOVA

25th • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonathon Vearing (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Robert Piper (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Thompson (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alister Ling (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Mann (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.06
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Claire Grant

41st • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aiden Harrison (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Zack Jarmyn (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Kaspar (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38

30:70

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Dash) - Expected: 29:71

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs James Williams (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.40
R5	Silver Age	Dash	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	Silver Age	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Aiden Harrison

47th • 3-4-0

14%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Thomson (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Claire Grant (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Ed Chan (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Patrik Ikhardt (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Vincent Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.51
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.41

Daniel McKeating

dropped • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Armitage (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Armin Eminovic (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Phipps (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rowan Duffield (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Lim (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Deanna Packwood (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.56
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Amelia Hulin-Bobart

dropped • 1-4-0

20%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Owen Young (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Tulloch (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Rosiak (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Patrik Ikhardt (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Daniel Rusling

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jerry Kaonang (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Zack Jarmyn (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Anderson (Vynnset) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

David House

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs James Williams (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Marcus Costa (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Benji, the Piercing Wind) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Benji, the Piercing Wind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Gavin Wu

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Crane (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Faron Swingler (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Leroy Martin-McEwen

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.9

Perf

0.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Horne (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ben Clarke (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.