Calling: San Diego 2026 - Kano (SAGE)

Kano

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Clements

1st • 9-2-0

82%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Matheo Franchot (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

85:15

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Enrique Gomez (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

85:15

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dominic Perez (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Marcus Brown (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Dalton Cameron (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

65:35

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Aurora Kynkor (Terra) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Jude Cornett (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.04
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.06
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.31
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.09
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.31
R8	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Terra	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.48
R10	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.07
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Alexander Vore

3rd • 9-2-0

91%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

4.9

Surp

4.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Duane Flier (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Perkins (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Conall Barrett (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Pier (Terra) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

4.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.08
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Terra	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.32
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.53
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.73
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.97
R10	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Hayden Jeanson

11th • 8-3-0

55%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.4

Surp

4.5

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Othman Akel (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Aaron Meza (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rob Harechmak (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Dennis Pham (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Austin Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.31
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.46
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.90
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.61
R9	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.76
R10	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.18

Evan Herndon

29th • 7-4-0

55%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

60:40

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Erikson (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Millar (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Suryan Bhatia (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Castro (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Luke Gilmore (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Win vs Nicholas Flavin (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.06
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.21
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.42
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.64
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R8	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.76
R11	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Ryan Pitcher

33rd • 6-5-0

73%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

5.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Natalie Birch ()

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Dean Carr (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Griffin Meyers (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kano) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R10 SAGE

Round 10: Loss vs Michael Clair (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R11 SAGE

Round 11: Loss vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

73% (8/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.18
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.32
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.30
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.22
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.51
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R8	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Michael Murray

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

85:15

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ferrell (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Devon Porcher (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Farrell (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Lewis (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

40:60

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Emerson Miller (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Erikson (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.03
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.01
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.72
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

kosei chetanna

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.2

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ian Tayag (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Dan Meadors (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Zach Huey (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Conall Barrett (Oldhim) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Zayne Johnson (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Nuu	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Oldhim	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.15
R6	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Peter Buddensiek

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Truong (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Tagg (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Branden Adams (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ben Rojas (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.98
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Mychael Gochee

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Duane Flier (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

90:10

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tyler Horspool (Florian) - Expected: 88:12

85:15

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Ferrell (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 87:13

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Shane Martin (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Florian	90%	Win	✓	0.12	0.11
R4	Silver Age	Valda Brightaxe	85%	Win	✓	0.13	0.17
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Ryan Brown

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Sanchez (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Erikson (Dromai) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Sean Soderman (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R4	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Clayton Bucholz

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Chinn (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Tabarejo (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None ()

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age		50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Turner

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tony Nguyen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 72:28

65:35

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs David Pier (Terra) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

45:55

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Tagg (Kayo) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Terra	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eric Lui

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Leon Cassel (Dorinthea) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Shereena Decano (Enigma) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs sean Burke (Briar) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dorinthea	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R3	Silver Age	Briar	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Eugene Galipchak

dropped • 0-2-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Mystyq Gem Pulmano (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 38:62

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Pitcher (Fai) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.