Iyslander at Calling: San Diego 2026

Iyslander

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

John Zapata

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.1

Diff

65:35

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Philip Torres (Oldhim) - Expected: 56:44

65:35

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Sael Garcia (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

25:75

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar) - Expected: 27:73

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

65:35

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Branden Adams (Briar) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Oldhim	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.36
R5	Silver Age	Rhinar	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

Taylor Morrow

dropped • 3-4-0

29%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Luke Gilmore (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tony Nguyen (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Kenjy Jap (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Murray (Kano) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Will Stubbs (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.30
R4	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	Silver Age	Kano	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R7	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Garrett Johnson

dropped • 2-3-0

20%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.3

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Ben Rojas (Kayo) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Fai) - Expected: 35:65

15:85

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Rogers (Enigma) - Expected: 16:84

40:60

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Blake Weaver (Dorinthea) - Expected: 42:58

65:35

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Glenn Rosario II (Briar) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

20% (1/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.23
R2	Silver Age	Fai	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	15%	Loss	✗	0.16	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.00
R5	Silver Age	Briar	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.